Analysts report that Brazil’s Ibovespa index reached new highs on September 11, 2025. The benchmark climbed 0.56 percent to close at 143,150.03 points. Traders drove this gain despite domestic political tensions.
The index hit an intraday peak of 144,012.50 points. It dipped to a low of 142,349.41 points during the session. Volume rose to 24.5 billion reais, signaling stronger participation.
US economic figures fueled the advance. Consumer prices increased 0.4 percent in August, above the expected 0.3 percent. Year-over-year inflation held at 2.9 percent.
Jobless claims jumped to 263,000, exceeding forecasts of 235,000. These data reinforced bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets priced in a 25-basis-point reduction next week.
Wall Street responded positively. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones set new records. Treasury yields fell to 4.02 percent on the 10-year note.
In Brazil, the Supreme Court convicted former President Jair Bolsonaro. Justices sentenced him to 27 years for coup plotting. The 4-1 ruling drew global attention.
Ibovespa Surges to Record Amid US Data and Trade Risks. (Photo Internet reproduction)
US President Donald Trump linked prior tariffs to this trial. He imposed 50 percent duties on Brazilian goods in July. Steel and agricultural exports faced hits.
The Ministry of Finance cut growth and inflation forecasts. President Lula’s approval rose to 33 percent. Disapproval stood at 38 percent in polls.
From a mercantile perspective, tariffs squeeze exporters. Brazilian firms lose competitiveness in US markets. Protectionism favors domestic producers but raises costs.
Global liquidity supported risk assets. The yellow line on charts, tracking the Global Liquidity Index NDQ, trended upward. It showed ample funds flowing into equities.
Fundamentals reveal mixed signals. Softer US data eases global rates. Yet, trade barriers threaten Brazil’s export-driven economy. Macroeconomic factors include stable inflation. Core PCE estimates at 0.22 percent aid policy easing. Emerging markets gained amid dollar weakness.
Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum. Simple moving averages aligned upward. The 50-day SMA held at 140,000 points as support. Exponential moving averages crossed bullishly.
The 12-period EMA surpassed the 26-period one. MACD histogram expanded positively. Relative Strength Index hovered at 70.99. This level indicated overbought conditions. Yet, no divergence signaled exhaustion.
Bollinger Bands widened slightly. Price hugged the upper band near 144,000. This suggested continued volatility upward. Support levels stood at 142,000 points.
Resistance eyed 150,000 based on Fibonacci extensions. Volume spikes validated the breakout. The 1-day chart showed an uptrend channel. Candles formed green bodies recently. The 4-hour view revealed intra-day resilience.
Overnight, Asian markets advanced. India’s Sensex rose 0.35 percent to 81,836.66. China’s indices gained weekly. The dollar closed at 5.3922 reais, down 0.27 percent. Bitcoin held at 114,418.79, up 0.61 percent.
Traders weighed gains against risks. Bolsonaro‘s conviction sparked fears of US retaliation. Markets ignored immediate impacts. Top winners included Magazine Luiza at plus 8.11 percent. Vivara gained 4.99 percent on consumer strength.
Cyrela rose 4.91 percent amid rate hopes. C&A advanced 4.80 percent in retail. Marfrig climbed 4.17 percent on commodities. Top losers featured Pão de Açúcar down 5.39 percent.
MRV Engenharia fell 4.83 percent on growth cuts. Caixa Seguridade dropped 2.46 percent. Totvs declined 1.40 percent in tech. Grifols slipped 1.15 percent selectively.
Brazil’s market navigates opportunities and threats. US easing boosts liquidity. Trade frictions demand vigilance.
