Shafaq News
The recent crypto market bust has left some investors more
cautious, after hitting some of the hottest and most-hyped corners of the
industry the hardest. It may also provide a boon to emerging strategies that
seek to more actively manage risks.
The universe of crypto investment alternatives has expanded
dramatically in just a few years and now includes direct cryptocurrency
purchases, spot ETFs, derivatives like put and call options and futures, shares
in mining and treasury companies, crypto exchanges and infrastructure
providers.
But that is also bringing different investment results, with
leverage, high valuations and funding concerns among the factors that have hurt
various corners of the crypto markets.
“Investment vehicles for bitcoin have exploded across
both retail and institutional markets, fundamentally expanding access,” said
John D’Agostino, head of strategy at Coinbase Institutional. However, “the
nuances matter in terms of how people want to express leverage and to what
degree they want to hedge their exposure.”
BUYING TOO HIGH
Bitcoin tumbled as much as 36% from a record $126,223 on
October 6, and remains around 30% below its high. Bitcoin treasury companies,
led by Strategy Inc (MSTR.O), have suffered even more.
These companies hold a significant portion of their
corporate assets in cryptocurrencies as a treasury reserve and often raise
capital through stock or debt to acquire more digital assets.
For years, their share prices traded at a premium to the
value of the bitcoin they owned and many investors assumed that premium would
keep growing forever.
But when bitcoin’s price fell, those premiums collapsed.
Strategy’s stock has dropped 54% from bitcoin’s October peak and is down 63%
from its mid-July level. Japan’s Metaplanet (3350.T) and a long list of smaller
imitators were hit just as hard.
It became “a localized bubble,” said Lyn Alden, founder of
Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. “Investors are now a lot more cautious of
overpaying for those.”
MINING COMPANIES UNDERGO PIVOT PAINS
Mining companies like IREN (IREN.O), CleanSpark (CLSK.O),
Riot (RIOT.O), and MARA Holdings (MARA.O), which have been investor favorites,
have also faced setbacks. These firms, which secured cheap electricity under
long-term contracts, are now pivoting to AI data centers for tech giants.
“Those stocks have been the best performers of the year
because they combine two powerful themes: digital assets via their bitcoin
exposure and AI,” said Matthew Sigel, portfolio manager of VanEck Onchain
Economy ETF, which invests in the crypto ecosystem.
But many saw weakness on concerns about some of these
companies’ profitability as they carry heavy debt and constantly need fresh
cash to pay for the switch.
“The macro environment turned a little bit and those
companies got punished,” Sigel said.
ENERGY KEY TO GROWTH
Over the next few years, crypto and AI investments are
expected to be increasingly intertwined, with crypto infrastructure seen as
crucial for addressing power needs.
Morgan Stanley estimates U.S. data centers are facing a
power shortfall of 47 gigawatts through 2028, but notes that converting crypto
miners could alleviate a significant portion, potentially 10-15 GW or more.
“If you want to get a company with exposure to crypto,
but also with exposure to an important growth story for the next five or ten
years with the development of AI data centers, you’ve got to look at a lot of
these miners,” said Brian Dobson, managing director of disruptive
technology equity research at Clear Street.
THE NEXT WAVE
For some companies, a solution to poor performance rests
with offering actively managed and/or hedged strategies that can outperform
during drawdowns.
Sigel’s VanEck Onchain Economy ETF has seen a 32% return
since the fund launched in May this year by deliberately underweighting
over-leveraged names, he said. “Our conviction is that active management
is the way to go in this space because it’s still an immature asset
class.”
Activist investor Eric Jackson’s EMJ Crypto Technologies
(EMJX) has developed the first actively hedged digital-asset treasury holding
bitcoin, ethereum and selective alts, which also generates yield by selling
options instead of repeatedly issuing equity or debt.
The company is now live, after SRx Health Solutions
announced on Tuesday that it will purchase EMJX, with the combined company to
be headed by Jackson. The ticker will switch to EMJX from SRXH after closing,
which is expected in the first quarter of 2026.
Through all the noise, bitcoin itself has strengthened its
position as the clear leader among currencies, bolstered by strong
institutional backing.
Harvard University’s endowment now holds BlackRock’s (BLK.N)
iShares Bitcoin Trust as its largest publicly disclosed stock position.
Sovereign wealth funds in Luxembourg, Abu Dhabi and the Czech Republic are
building stakes.
It is also a favorite currency among crypto miners.
As more investment choices appear, Coinbase’s D’Agostino
argues that the overall market is starting to look like traditional commodities
or stocks with regulated exchanges, safe custody options, and precise tools to
bet on price direction, volatility, or steady income.
“If you’re comfortable owning commodities, real estate, art,
or gold, but crypto still scares you — you’re simply misinformed.”
(Reuters)
Only the headline is edited by Shafaq News Agency.
