Iraq’s private banks: Capital Growth and the structural credit gap

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Shafaq News

Despite a noticeable expansion in the
number of private banks operating in Iraq and a steady rise in their capital
over recent years, their contribution to credit activity remains modest
compared with the size of the local economy and its financing needs. Private
lenders also lag far behind government-owned banks and banking sectors in
neighboring countries, exposing structural weaknesses in the credit system.

In theory, bank credit should act as a
primary engine for economic growth, financing projects, supporting private
enterprise, and generating employment. In practice, Iraq’s private banks remain
concentrated in low-risk, fast-return activities, limiting their ability to act
as development partners. Economists and financial experts told Shafaq News that
this disconnect reflects deeper distortions in financial intermediation, state
dominance over deposits, weak governance, and persistent trust deficits.

While capital growth can strengthen a
bank’s standing, it does not automatically translate into expanded lending if
deposits remain concentrated elsewhere, long-term risks stay elevated, and
customer confidence remains fragile. As several experts emphasized, Iraq’s
constraints are structural as much as they are financial, meaning more banks or
higher capital, on their own, do not guarantee more credit to the real economy.

Read more: Lending freeze, cash hoarding expose fragility of Iraq’s banks

Financial expert Mahmoud Dagher, a former
director general at the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI), described deposit
concentration as a core structural problem.

“Government banks control around 85% of
total deposits, while the remaining 15% is shared among roughly 60 private
banks,” Dagher said. “Under these conditions, private banks are not playing
their role properly in the banking process.”

He linked the imbalance to the nature of
Iraq’s economy itself, noting that salaries, public spending, and the bulk of
liquidity flow through state institutions. “Iraqi society and Iraqi money are
mostly government-based, and this is a fundamental problem in the banking
system.”

Dagher also pointed to a partial shift in
recent performance, explaining that private banks extended more credit than
government banks in 2025, while structural constraints —rather than capacity
alone— continue to define their limited impact.

Official data shows Iraq’s banking sector
includes 83 banks: 8 government banks, 24 commercial private banks, 31 Islamic
banks, 17 foreign bank branches, and three foreign representative offices.

In this regard, economist Hilal Al-Taan
argued that the private banks’ limited credit role cannot be separated from
Iraq’s broader political and economic context, describing the fragile economic
and investment environment as a central obstacle. “Political and security
instability has prevented banks from entering long-term investments due to
elevated financial risks,” he said.

Al-Taan added that limited capital bases
among many private banks further constrain lending capacity, particularly when
paired with the overwhelming presence of state-owned lenders, most notably
Rafidain and Rasheed banks. Beyond capital, he pointed to weakness in Iraq’s
legal and regulatory banking framework and fragile financial governance as
factors that continue to undermine confidence and credit expansion.

Read more: Cash culture dominates Iraq, reform efforts stall

Another layer of distortion, economists
say, stems from the origins of many private banks themselves. Economist
Dhergham Mohammed Ali said a significant number of private banks were
established primarily to participate in the currency auction mechanism rather
than to perform full banking functions.

In his view, many private banks were
created to access the currency window and secure a share of it, without
engaging in broader banking activities. “This fragmented customer evaluation
and weakened trust in much of the banking system,” he said.

That trust deficit deepened following
regulatory actions taken against some private lenders. Ali noted that Central
Bank guardianship over certain banks and the freezing of customer deposits
heightened public fears about engaging with private institutions. Still, he
pointed to limited signs of activation in parts of the market. “Expanding
financial inclusion, linking housing purchases to bank financing, and
cooperation between banks and real estate investors have activated some private
banks and pushed them to participate more meaningfully in the credit market,”
he said.

Financial expert Adnan Hatem said the
imbalance becomes clearer through a regional lens, because in most countries,
private banks form a backbone for reconstruction and investment across sectors.
In Iraq, however, “banks remain far removed from these priorities.”

Despite Iraq having one of the highest
ratios of private banks in the Middle East, Hatem described most of them as
operationally weak, with activities heavily concentrated in currency sales and
low-risk, quick-return transactions —patterns that deprive the economy of
long-term financing and reinforce a cycle in which savings fail to translate
into productive investment.

Acknowledging these challenges, Ammar
Al-Ithawi, the CBI Deputy Governor, said authorities introduced a restructuring
framework for private banks built around three pathways: compliance and
continuation, merger, or exit from the market.

Most private banks, he said, committed to
the first or second path —either continuing independently while meeting
standards or merging— while only a very small number, “no more than five
banks,” chose to exit voluntarily. Al-Ithawi also said financial inclusion in
Iraq remains relatively low compared with neighboring countries, while cash
usage continues to dominate daily transactions.

In April 2025, the Central Bank launched a
private banking reform plan in cooperation with the US-based consulting firm
Oliver Wyman. The initiative aims to expand financial inclusion, raise
efficiency and productivity in private banks, foster fair competition, and
enhance the sector’s resilience against financial shocks.

Experts broadly agree that restructuring
and reform plans are necessary, but may not be sufficient on their own. As long
as deposits remain concentrated in state banks, legal protections remain weak,
and political uncertainty persists, private banks are likely to continue
prioritizing safety over development.

The challenge, they argue, is not merely
increasing the number of banks or their capital, but redefining incentives
within the financial system itself, so that credit flows toward productive
sectors rather than remaining trapped in low-risk channels.

Read more: Iraqi Banking reform: Between necessary change and crippling conditions

Written and edited by Shafaq News staff.


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